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    U.S.-Led Ceasefire Talks in Ukraine-Russia Conflict Face Hurdles as NATO Balances Support

    Trump’s outreach to Putin and Zelenskyy marks renewed push for 30-day ceasefire, but deep rifts over territorial integrity and military aid persist.

    Key Points:

    • President Trump to speak with Putin today at 10:00 AM ET to discuss Ukraine ceasefire.
    • Trump also plans calls with Zelenskyy and NATO leaders after the Putin conversation.
    • Putin reiterated support for limited ceasefire terms but criticized Ukraine’s lack of reciprocal action.
    • Russia and Ukraine held Istanbul talks, agreeing to a POW exchange and a roadmap for future ceasefire.
    • Ukraine remains skeptical, citing continued Russian drone strikes and territorial demands.

    Trump-Putin Call Scheduled for 10AM ET Today

    President Donald Trump is scheduled to speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin today, May 19, 2025, at 10:00 AM Eastern Time, to discuss the war in Ukraine and the possibility of a formal ceasefire. Following the Putin call, Trump plans to speak separately with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and leaders of NATO countries to coordinate a broader peace effort, according to ABC News and Al Jazeera.

    Ceasefire Initiative Builds on March Talks

    Today’s scheduled call builds on a March 18 discussion between Trump and Putin, where both sides tentatively agreed to pause attacks on energy infrastructure. As reported by the White House, the leaders discussed full ceasefire frameworks and maritime security in the Black Sea.

    “We are very much on track for a meaningful ceasefire. The road to peace is challenging, but the dialogue is strong.”

    — President Donald Trump on Truth Social

    Putin agreed to limited ceasefire gestures in March, including halting shelling and strikes on civilian energy infrastructure. But as reported by TASS, Moscow claims Kyiv never responded with reciprocal measures, raising doubts about progress.

    Kremlin Emphasizes Istanbul Talks as Foundation

    Ahead of today’s call, Russian Presidential Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said the Trump-Putin conversation would be informed by the May 16 negotiations in Istanbul. “We will give the maximum information possible based on the results of the conversation,” Peskov told TASS.

    “We will give the maximum information possible based on the results of the conversation.”
    — Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin Spokesman (TASS)

    At the Istanbul summit, Ukraine and Russia agreed to a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner exchange and introduced draft concepts for a ceasefire roadmap. Russia’s chief delegate Vladimir Medinsky said Ukraine requested direct leader-to-leader engagement, which Moscow “took into consideration.”

    Zelenskyy Skeptical Amid Continued Strikes

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy expressed cautious support for the energy infrastructure pause but highlighted ongoing attacks. According to his X post, Russia launched 200 drones in one night despite its ceasefire claims.

    “When Putin said he would halt strikes on our energy sector, 200 drones came overnight. Ceasefire must be reliable, not rhetorical.”
    — President Zelenskyy on X

    According to Ukrinform, Ukraine intercepted 76 of 112 drones overnight. Zelenskyy has made clear that any negotiations must include a full withdrawal of Russian forces and no recognition of annexed regions like Crimea.

    NATO Coordination and Ceasefire Strategy

    NATO is not directly involved in the ceasefire talks but remains central to Ukraine’s defense. According to NATO, the alliance reaffirmed Ukraine’s eventual membership during the 2024 Washington Summit.

    U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said that any post-ceasefire security presence should not involve NATO troops, in order to prevent escalation.

    “Peacekeeping efforts must avoid sparking direct confrontation. A non-NATO framework is the safest path forward.”
    — U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth

    On May 18, German Chancellor Merz, French President Macron, and UK Prime Minister Starmer spoke with Trump to coordinate a unified approach. According to Deutsche Welle, the European leaders called for an unconditional ceasefire and warned of new sanctions against Russia if it fails to engage sincerely.

    Fragile Ceasefire History Raises Doubts

    Both sides have previously violated ceasefire agreements. Ukraine reported 734 Russian violations within 12 hours during the May 8–10 Victory Day pause, while Russia accused Kyiv of over 14,000 violations.

    As noted by Al Jazeera, analysts warn that Russia’s battlefield gains could tilt talks in its favor unless robust enforcement and international guarantees are in place.

    “Ukraine faces an untenable position—negotiating while losing ground may force them into a carve-up of sovereignty.”
    — Michael Clarke, Military Analyst (The Guardian)

    As Trump prepares for back-to-back calls with global leaders today, the outcome of the 10AM Putin conversation may determine whether real peace or just prolonged posturing is in store for Ukraine.

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