- Democrats in Texas blocked a Trump-backed redistricting plan on Monday.
- California Democrats are advancing a proposal to eliminate five GOP seats.
- The political battle could shift control of the House in 2026 midterms.
- President Trump’s legislative agenda may hinge on the outcome.
The Big Picture
The two most populous states in the U.S. — California and Texas — are heading into a high-stakes redistricting battle that could determine the balance of power in Congress and shape President Donald Trump’s second-term agenda.
As reported by the Associated Press, the clash over congressional maps is accelerating ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, with both parties maneuvering to gain an edge in what remains a narrowly divided House of Representatives.
What’s New
In Texas, Democratic lawmakers on Monday stalled a Republican redistricting bill backed by President Trump. The proposed map aimed to lock in GOP dominance in the state by reconfiguring congressional boundaries, but Democrats walked out of the legislature, effectively freezing action — at least temporarily.
Meanwhile, in California, Democrats are working on a draft plan that could strip Republicans of five House seats. Governor Gavin Newsom is reportedly supportive of the effort, which seeks to counterbalance GOP gains in red states like Texas. The proposal could expand Democratic representation in California from 43 to 48 out of 52 total congressional seats.
What They’re Saying
According to the Associated Press, a source familiar with California’s draft plan said it is designed to “pad Democratic margins” in closely contested areas including Orange County, San Diego County, and parts of the Central Valley. The source was not authorized to speak publicly about the plan.
What’s Next
Any redistricting changes in California would require legislative and voter approval, potentially reigniting debate over whether the state’s independent redistricting commission should retain control. In Texas, Republicans may call a special session or negotiate changes to win over moderate Democrats.
With Trump’s legislative priorities hanging in the balance, the outcome of these redistricting fights will have ripple effects well beyond state borders — shaping the national political landscape through the 2026 midterms and beyond.
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