Balen Shah’s Election Wave: Public Support in Janakpur and a ‘Mega Showdown’ with Oli in Jhapa

Support surges in Madhesh as Balen targets Oli’s stronghold in Jhapa-5.

A new wave has emerged in Nepal’s politics. After a successful term leading Kathmandu Metropolitan City, Balendra Shah (Balen), who resigned as mayor, has launched a nationwide campaign for the general election scheduled for March 5, 2026. His rising popularity—especially in Janakpur in Madhesh and Jhapa in Koshi Province—has become a major challenge for traditional political parties.

Jhapa-5: A “Heavyweight” Electoral Contest

On Tuesday (January 20), Balen Shah registered his candidacy from Jhapa Constituency No. 5—the same seat being contested by CPN-UML Chair and former Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli.

  • A bold decision: Analysts have called it a “courageous move” that Balen chose Jhapa—widely seen as Oli’s stronghold—instead of staying within his political base in Kathmandu. Balen has described the move as a “message of change.”
  • Youth backing: Thousands of young people turned out during his candidacy registration in Jhapa. Local voters say his arrival has shaken up a political equation that has remained largely unchanged for decades.

Janakpur: An Emotional Connection and a Nationalist Message

Before traveling to Jhapa, Balen visited Janakpurdham on January 19. Many locals welcomed him as the “pride of Madhesh,” citing his Madheshi-rooted identity.

  • Greater Nepal, identity, and governance: In a public address, his remarks on nationalism, the “Greater Nepal” map, and good governance strongly resonated with young people.
  • A growing appeal: His popularity in Madhesh appears driven not only by his work record, but also by his outspoken style and visible cultural attachment.

Aim: Prime Minister in the Future

Balen, who joined the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) in December 2025, has been promoted by the party as a “future prime minister.” Contesting with the party’s “Bell” election symbol, he is focusing his campaign on replacing corrupt and long-standing leaders and building a “new Nepal.”

“I didn’t come just to win safely and become an MP. I came to reach the center of old leadership and change the political culture,” Balen said after registering his candidacy in Jhapa.

Key Election Details (2026)

  • Voting day: March 5, 2026
  • Election symbol: Bell (Rastriya Swatantra Party)
  • Main rival: KP Sharma Oli (in Jhapa-5)

Balen’s momentum suggests young voters could play a decisive role in the upcoming election. The public surge seen in Jhapa and Janakpur also indicates his appeal is strong beyond Kathmandu.

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